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A Summary of W.D. Gann's Techniques of Analysis and Trading
Psychological Framework
Master yourself Trading strategies Importance of number 3 Tops, bottoms and consolidations Gann says that there can be nine mathematical proofs of any point of resistance Weak stocks will generally not rally until either a test of the first bottom or a higher bottom is made by the market.
(That is why AD line is a lagging indicator and generally moves up in the third wave)The third move trying to break the consolidation
top/bottom is the most important. If it fails, a fast move in the other direction may be expected.
False breakouts from consolidation result in very fast moves. False breakout occurs when a move outside the consolidation
zone fails to sustain in the following week and where the price has not gone beyond three points above the top. These false
moves start with high momentum.
A breakout from a three-four day consolidation in a very narrow range results in sharp three day move.
Faster moves start from third of fourth higher bottom. It will be strong move if there is space between the third or fourth
bottom and the previous top.
Trend and trend following techniques: In fast advancing markets, in the last stage of the campaign, reactions get smaller
as stocks work to higher level, until the final run has ended. Then comes a sharp reaction and a reversal in the trend. Same
happens in the bear market. Once you are convinced that a trend is in force, do not wait too long to go with the trade. Early
in the trend buy/sell a stock which is already strong/weak. Fast moves generally come from bear market bottoms. These moves
usually run three weeks up, then move sideways three to five more weeks, and then accelerate followed by another sideways
movement. Under fast moves the first signal to trend change is overbalance i.e. reaction gets larger compared to the earlier
ones, specially in the fifth wave. Watch the changes in momentum of price - is the market/stock gaining less points in more
time? If the market is trending up, then it should go up more time than it goes down. And vice versa.
Any reversal pattern should be seen in conjunction with the time cycles. Do not pay attention to the financial press.
Use simple trading filter of not entering the market on the third day of the move.
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The basic tool for the manipulation of reality is the manipulation of words. If you can control the meaning of words, you can control the people who must use the words. Philip K. Dick |
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